Sunday, March 26, 2017

Do We See The Dusk Of America? That Depends On …


Do We See The Dusk Of America? That Depends On …
Every country is as powerful as powerful its citizens.
For any country to be successful the country needs to have a sufficient number of people who satisfy the four following conditions; those people have to be:
1. smart
2. educated
3. honest
4. active.
All four conditions are equally important and the order I list them does not matter; it just reflects the fact that I am a physics teacher.
“Smart” means an ability to solve problems using reasoning.
“Educated” means having in a working memory a sufficient volume of relevant information.
“Honest” means more than just telling the truth; it also means an ability to take risks and be open about it, an ability to accept mistakes (and – being smart and educated – learn from those mistakes).
“Active” means literally to be active, to be involved in actions, to act. A lazy genius who watches the events of the world and does nothing about anything might as well just do not exist, since his/her influence is equal to zero. “Active” also means an ability and the necessity to communicate with fellow citizens.
We live in historic times.
The whole World is undergoing a transition from one historic phase to another one.
The World used to be essentially divided between two stable forces of influence, called “Communistic materialism” and “Democratic capitalism”.
This old World does not exist anymore, but the new stable world configuration is still in making.
It will take at least a couple of generations to build the new World. But the end of that process the new configuration of the centers of influence will emerge.
If history teaches us anything, it is that there is no guaranty at all, that those countries which had the most of the influence at the beginning of the reconstruction of the world order, still will keep the same level of influence. On the contrary, the most of historic precedents tell us that the new world order usually is based on the new most influential countries (for example, the Roman Empire https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roman_Empire; British Empire https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Empire; Mongol Empire https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mongol_Empire).
Whether we like it or not, America is not insulted from the processes happening in the whole world.
The events of the 2016 Presidential Elections is one of the most visible results of the social changes happening in America due to its interactions with the rest of the World.
No wonder millions of Americans express isolationists sentiments.
However, the future of America is not defined by the processes on the outside of the Country.
The future of America solely depends on how many smart, educated, honest, and active people does America have (https://teachologyforall.blogspot.com/2017/03/sane.html).
Currently we can only hope that the number of such people is above the critical threshold.

Democratic Party Leaders Have No Vision


Hey fellow Democrats!
Did I tell you that the leaders of our party have no vision?
If not, here it is.
The leaders of the Democratic party have no vision.
I have been writing about it for quite a while, for example, check this: http://www.gomars.xyz/op.html
And the events of the past Friday confirmed my statement one more time.
Every single liberal media outlet makes fun of Republicans – something in the line: “Republicans had seven years to prepare the ObamaCare replacement, and they couldn’t, ha-ha!”.
Well, this statement goes both ways.
Democrats have known very well that Republicans would try to replace ObamaCare.
And what did they do?
NOTHING!
What they should have done is quietly working on a counter bill.
The minute Paul Ryan made his announcement
about not presenting the TrumpCare bill,
Democrats had to announce their own bill which would aim
to improve those parts of ObamaCare which everyone keeps criticizing.
Instead, Democrats just didn’t vote.
Now they give the advantage back to Trump.
After sulking over the weekend, he will announce on Monday or so, that he will reach to Democrats with a new offer on a healthcare bill.
And when he will do that, it will be HIS initiative, and eventually – HIS victory.
Our leaders do not understand that today Donald Trump presents the biggest threat to our national security. 
Anything what makes him stronger only increases that threat.
But our leaders seems following the general sentiment: "Let's give him a chance", maybe he will change".
This link leads to some of the words said about Donald Trump by a respectable Republican, former governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney : https://www.boston.com/news/politics/2016/12/01/here-are-all-the-harsh-things-mitt-romney-said-about-donald-trump
Including “a con man, a fake”.
Nothing changed since then.  
But our leaders do not WANT to see it.
It is like our leaders dug in trenches. When an enemy solder gets to the edge of the trench, they wound him, and they scream “We win! We win!”.
NO, YOU are NOT!
You are still in trenches scared to raise your head above the edge!
Tom Perez sent “me” an email:

 
Tom Perez, we know that the only reason the bill did not get to a vote is because some of the Republicans did not like it. Why? Who cares! It still was NOT because of you!
Tom Perez, when do you plan to attack??
Tom Perez, do you even have a plan for an attack??
Our Democratic leaders became senior pensioners, for whom the best news of a day is the absence of bad news.
It is our duty to tell them how deeply disappointed we all are.

Saturday, March 25, 2017

To Mr. Zac Petkanas - DNC Trump War Room Director



Hi Mr. Zac Petkanas (“DNC Trump War Room Director” – BTW, what a daft title, shouldn’t it be “Anti-Trump”, and a “Room Director”?),
You sent me a survey to learn what do I think Democrats should do.
My answer is to impeach President Trump.
Do you remember what a respectable Republican, former governor of Massachusetts Mitt Romney said about Donald Trump?
Including “a con man, a fake”.
Nothing changed since then.
President Trump represents the most embarrassing thing happened to America since the Watergate.
That is why the number one goal Democrats must focus on is an impeachment of Donald Trump.
It does not mean Democrats should stop paying attention to other things, like a health care, or Supreme Court, and others. But those things are natural, belong to a common-sense tactics.
If you are the “Trump War Room Director” – show us a specific plan leading to the impeachment.
And another thing, stop asking me for money.
I will not donate a single penny until some top official Democrat will step forward and take the responsibility for the results of the 2016 Elections.
I did my part, I was writing analytical letters, trying to warn the DNC of the upcoming mob revolution:
Start from this link https://teachologyforall.blogspot.com/2017/03/brazile.html and then follow the reading.
But the blindness and the arrogance of the top Democratic officials has led to the loss.
Some people may have a short memory, and forget and forgive.
But those who do not remember history doomed to repeat the same mistakes.
You and people from the top clearly want to forget what happened as quick as possible.
Even worse, you want US to forget what happened as quick as possible.
All you want from us – donations.
NO!
First you do your part – prove that you know what you do and can use our money for the good.
Regards,

Sunday, March 19, 2017

  Is Artificial Intelligence Already Actual Intelligence? 


  Is Artificial Intelligence Already Actual Intelligence? 
Recently one can read in many papers that robots finally become almost as smart as humans, and the era of humans is beginning to end.
For example, Scott Santens writes in Boston Globe: “Robots will take your job”.
Or, Emmanuel Marot writes: “Robot CEO: Your next boss could run on code” (find it at
Now Paul Allen wants to dissect a brain to make an artificial one.
It is amazing to see how advances in AI make public think that AI is already almost the same as I (Intelligence).
Yes, the progress in AI is huge!
But so far nothing achieved in this field shows actual intelligence, a.k.a. intellect.
An old but appropriate joke comes to mind.
Researches study the development of intellectual abilities in monkeys. They designed a cage with a tree and hanged a banana on a branch to keep the banana high enough. Monkey enters the cage and sees the banana. He tries to jump but the banana is too high. He tries to clime the tree, but it is covered with plastic so the monkey just slides back. Monkey looks around and sees a stick. He takes the stick and hit the banana down. Success! Researchers are preparing the cage for the new run; they place a new banana on the tree. Suddenly a hungry physics graduate gets in the cage. He sees banana. He jumps, but the banana is too high. He tries to clime the tree but slides back. He starts to shake the tree, but the banana holds tightly to the branch. He keeps shaking the tree. Nothing happens. Finally researches tell the guy via an intercom: “Hey, take a second, think it through.” “What to think about”, the guy says, “it is simple - just shake and shake hard”.
This joke helps to make a clear difference between an intelligent action and the one that is not.
Almost all authors talk about self-driving cars, or a robot that can walk and “talk”, or the three famous AIs, Deep Blue, Watson, and AlphaGo because they won in chess, Jeopardy and Go. Keep in mind, that all these AIs have been trained on using a vast set of previously uploaded information. The work they do is not really cognitive, it is routine. Of course, it is a highly performed routine work, but still – routine. It is impressive, but it could never have been done without advances in the amount of trivial operations a computer can make every second. When trying to separate a “routine” work from a “non-routine” work (meaning “intelligent”) people say that a routine work is the one done by body, and a cognitive work is the one which mostly requires our brain – but that is just plain wrong. Any work, or any action in general, requires functioning brain (that is true for all animals, including humans). The difference is what kind of problems does the brain solve when functioning.
There is a lot of routine work a brain does every day, or even every minute. However, nowadays we need to reassess the meaning of the term “routine”; it is not just something repetitive, it is also something that can be done by “routinely” checking a vast amount of data against a set of given criteria. No doubt a computer can do this kind of a routine work much faster than a human, but that does not make it more intelligent than a human – just faster.
Unfortunately, following AI promoters, public also get a deviated impression of what true intelligence is. Many think that memorizing lots of facts and quickly answering any question from an encyclopedia is the sign of intelligence.
The purpose, the missions, the central ability, the most important feature, and the signature sign of an intellect (a.k.a. intelligence) is an ability to solve problems. If we want to broad this definition of an intellect, we should say that the central ability of an intellect is an ability to self-teach, to self-propel individual knowledge generation, usually via generating a solution to a problem which has not been solved before (hence, the solution has not been stored in the memory and could not be found be a simple search, even via a very deep search, and the action solving a problem at hand could not be previously trained). If we have to select a single action which indicates the level of intelligence it will be making a decision. Simple decisions do not require much of thinking. Although today the term “simple” incudes decisions which can be made based on a fast analysis of a large amount of data, as long as the parameters and values are well established and well prepared. Complicated decisions are synonymous to not trivial decisions, which often come spontaneously, as an insight. Spontaneity means that an action has not been trained before and it requires taking a step outside of the previously trained actions, and it has to happen here and now. No robot can do this so far.
Yes, a robot can recognize our face and voice, can get up if pushed down, can perform commands – but so can a monkey, or a dog. Some dogs might show a very smart behavior, but an intelligent dog does not exist.
A brain is just a biological foundation for intelligence, but learning from an intelligent teacher is the source and the roots of intelligence. You can try to train a monkey, but it will not learn how to solve physics problems. On the other hand, you can find a human child razed by monkeys and his perfectly human brain will not be able to show any sign of a high intelligence.
So, how will we know when AI is truly I (Intelligence)?
Another joke (a.k.a. an anecdote!) comes to mind.
A young math teacher enters the teacher lounge and swears: “My students are so stupid. I explained them a theorem, they did not get it. I explained another time. Still did not get. I explained the third time. I GOT IT! They still didn't”
(FYI: who is acting stupid in this joke?).
There is a reason people say “if you really want to understand something, teach it to someone”. Teaching is a sign of a high intelligence. Of course, it needs to be a true teaching, but not just routine training of repetitive actions. Animals also teach their cubs to live, to hunt. Many of the current “teaching” software” do not go farther than an animal-type intelligence; they train a student in a way a trainer trains an animal do tricks, but no more.
Let’s stress one more time: the key ability of an intellect is not an ability to walk, it is not an ability to talk, it is an ability to solve problems. And so far, the most powerful problem-solving instrument invented by the nature is a human brain. So, what every AI expert should do is to watch what problems, in what order and how a human brain learns to solve.
That means a simple thing, AI experts need to map a problem-solving evolution of a growing human, from a baby (problems to solve: reach, touch, recognize, walk, etc.), to … well, Albert Einstein!
At first a robot should learn how to solve any problem from a standard physics textbook; then a robot should be able to tutor a single student how to solve physics problems, and then, when a robot can replace a high school physics teacher, I will agree that finally AI has become I (Intelligence); but so far no company in the world (NO COMPANY IN THE WORLD) works on this (not "sexy", I guess, or too difficult, or both).

Donna Brazile v. Trevor Noah



There are two words about the visit Donna Brazile paid to “The Daily Show with Trevor Noah”.

Those words are “staged”, and “pathetic”.


When Trevor asked about questions she sent to Clinton, it was a chance for Brazile to come clean. She could have said something like: “Man, it was a fight, I know I had to be impartial, but even the best of us make mistake in the heat of emotions, we all have our weaknesses, and my weakness was that I did NOT believe Bernie could win, and let once my emotions affect my actions. Do I regret it? Yes, and no. I still believe Sanders would lose to Trump. But I do accept that I should not have done it.”

Instead, Brazile started fiddling with paper, “This what I sent Clinton, but do you think I only sent something to her? I also sent something to Sanders”.

For Trevor, this was a chance to ask: “Donna, did you ever sent questions to Bernie?”.

Of course, he passed on this. Staged!

The Brazile’s line that she just wanted to put out important questions to discuss – pathetic!

More on Democrats (why did they lose and what to do now) in previous posts on this blog. 
P.S. click here for some of the publishing history on the matter

Saturday, March 18, 2017

“To Senator Warren In preparation to 2017 Mass Dem State Convention


“To Senator Warren In preparation to 2017 Mass Dem State Convention”



Senator Warren,

Unfortunately, I cannot attend your town meeting on Monday due my work schedule, but if I could, this is what I would have said.

“Senator Warren,

how come that so far, NO single top Democrat has addressed the TRUE reasons for America now has President Trump?

When one pro-football team loses to another pro-football team it is normal; it is like Gore lost to Bush, they both were political veterans.

But losing to Trump’s team it is like a pro-football team loses to a bunch of guys who had never played football and just met each other before the game.

This requires DEEP analytical work. But NO ONE at the top of the Democratic party does it. Everyone keeps screaming the same slogans: “Trump is baaaad. We are gooood!”

It’s like we don’t know it. It’s like we are so ignorant we cannot see it. It’s like we are so forgetful, we need to be reminded of this every day.

It has not worked before – that is why Trump won – how can you expect it will work now, or in the future?

As a long-time physics/math teacher and just an educated person, I know that people who want to forget history, who do not accept mistakes, who do not analyze reasons for the mistakes – WILL repeat them again. Hence, in the current state of events, Democrats will lose – again, and again, and again – that includes the Congress in 2018, the next Presidential elections.

Democrats behave like nothing extraordinary happened – like it was just another regular political loss.

IT WAS NOT!!

Thinking such is a clear path to more lost elections.

Acting like nothing happened makes Democrats look week, even “ball-less” – from the point of view of the swing “hidden” voters who elected Trump.

You have to demonstrate the will and ability to move on, like Ben Affleck demonstrated it by telling everyone he was in a rehab.

I watch the Democrats and what I want to scream is: “Trump is smaaaart!”, “Democrats are stuuuuuupid!”

Of course, when we say “Trump” we have to mean his all team.

At the minimum (!), check this: “A Sane America” vs. “An Insane America”; The Latter Has Won”: https://teachologyforall.blogspot.com/2017/03/sane.html.


or at least take a look at this 4-minut video: https://youtu.be/OwzKlFpIt_E)

Anyway, Senator Warren, I am sure you will be speaking at the 2017 Mass Dem State Convention. I will be there, too. And I really really want to hear how will you address the issue I describe in this post.

Or, you also will lose my trust in your abilities to lead.

But even more important, you will NOT gain the trust of the people without whom Democrats will never win again.

At this point it is not an issue of facts and logic.

At this point it is an issue of mass psychology and a character.”
P.S. click here for some of the publishing history on the matter 

Friday, March 17, 2017

“A Sane America” vs. “An Insane America”; The Latter Has Won (so far)


“A Sane America” vs. “An Insane America”; The Latter Has Won (so far).
No one would disagree nowadays with the statement that about 90 % of America is harshly divided between two large opposite “clans” (groups, strata).
The remaining 10 % flipped the election toward Trump, but soon may swing in the opposite direction (BTW: the Trump administration is doing everything in its power to prevent this from happening, Democrats should do everything they can to make it happen, but Democrats so far have no idea how to do it).
This phenomenon is not new. One can find a lot of press on the issue, for example, fine reading:
- The Atlantic (This election has divided Americans like few in history; https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/11/making-up-is-hard-to-do/501146/);
- The Associated Press (Divided America; https://www.ap.org/explore/divided-america/);
- Politico (Trump’s divided state of America; http://www.politico.com/story/2017/01/donald-trump-divided-america-233652);
The division is being described as “economically succeeded vs. economically depressed”, or “Republican vs. Democrat”, or “liberal vs. conservative”, or “1 percent vs. the 99 percent”, or “rural vs. urban”, or “white men against the world”, or “intellectuals vs. non-educated”, and more (e.g. see AP).
Those descriptions are correct, but none of them is the one
every politician needs to address before anything else.
Those divisions do represent the fundamental basis for another one, which is the most important division America faces today – which is between
“a sane America” and “an insane America”.
BTW: “a sane person”, “an insane person” are clinical terms.
The reasons behind “SOCIAL INSANITY” have been presented in this paper: 
 https://teachologyforall.blogspot.com/2017/02/4s.html (and also the ways for dealing with it).

In order to move on, “a sane America” must admit first of all that it has just lost to “an insane America”.
Then “a sane America” must admit that (a) it has no idea how did it happen; (b) it has no idea what to do now.
Everything what “a sane America” is trying to do now is based on the assumption that the opposition is also “sane”.
No one ever can solve a problem and achieve a goal while
building the actions on a wrong assumption!
That is why “a sane America” also must become “a smart America” (BTW: “sane” and “smart” are not the same terms); start from this 4-minute video: https://youtu.be/OwzKlFpIt_E
P.S. click here for some of the publishing history on the matter